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A new interesting article has been published in Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Mar 24; 26(7). doi: 10.3201/eid2607.200250. [Epub ahead of print] and titled:

Identifying Locations with Possible Undetected Imported Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Cases by Using Importation Predictions.

Authors of this article are:

De Salazar PM, Niehus R, Taylor A, Buckee CO, Lipsitch M.

A summary of the article is shown below:

Cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection exported from mainland China could lead to self-sustained outbreaks in other countries. By February 2020, several countries were reporting imported SARS-CoV-2 cases. To contain the virus, early detection of imported SARS-CoV-2 cases is critical. We used air travel volume estimates from Wuhan, China, to international destinations and a generalized linear regression model to identify locations that could have undetected imported cases. Our model can be adjusted to account for exportation of cases from other locations as the virus spreads and more information on importations and transmission becomes available. Early detection and appropriate control measures can reduce the risk for transmission in all locations.

Check out the article’s website on Pubmed for more information:

[link-preview url=https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32207679 forceshot=true]

This article is a good source of information and a good way to become familiar with topics such as: 2019 novel coronavirus disease; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; outbreak; pneumonia; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; travelers health; viruses; zoonoses.

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